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PCSTATS Maps out Hardware Releases For 2005 - PCSTATS Maps out Hardware Releases For 2005
Wed, December 15 2004 | 6:19PM | PermaLink Feedback?

Wondering what's in store from the computer industry in 2005? PCstats had a look at the following set of roadmaps from the Japanese website WinPC Annex, and they detail everything from AMD's move to 90nm SOI manufacturing process on its 'San Diego' core, to the dual core Athlon64 FX 'Toledo' processors due in late 2005. The Intel and AMD roadmaps also cover the slew of motherboard chipsets to be released in the coming months, along with information on new and upcoming Videocard GPU's. Each of WinPC Annex's spreadsheets covers the anticipated tech releases from now until fourth quarter of 2005... which of course are open to change at any moment.

Processor Highlights for 2005

The AMD Athlon64 CPU is expected to continue on with 90nm SOI manufacturing process well into 2005, with the addition of SSE3 instructions on both the 'Venice', 'San Diego', and 'Palermo' cores. All of which are socket 939 processors; signaling the death call for socket 754 by Q3'05. The high end Athlon64 FX will be transition from 130nm SOI manufacturing process to 90nm SOI, and migrating to a dual core architecture with its 'San Diego' and 'Toledo' chips by Q2-Q3 2005.

On the Athlon64 chipset front, there are surprisingly few releases outlined. The nVidia nForce 4 has already been released for the socket 939 Athlon64 processor, while the ATI Radeon Xpress 200P still remains to be proven by comparison. With the PCI Express videocard formfactor remaining elusively below manufacturers expectations, I wouldn't expect ATI to release its Athlon64 compatible Xpress 200P till sometime around CeBit 2005 at the earliest. VIA chipsets continue with where the popular K8T800 Pro left off with the much delayed K8T890 and K8T890 Pro (SLI compatible variation).

The SIS 756 Athlon64 PCI Express chipset should release in early 2005, but few typically adopt SIS' offerings. On the mainstream front AMD users will have better pickings as the Radeon Xpress 200 (X300 graphics) and RS482 chipsets release, while SIS push out the SIS 761GX with integrated Mirage1 DX7 graphics, and SIS 770 with PCI Express support and integrated Mirage3 DX9 graphics. VIA will be introducing its K8M890 which supports PCI Express and features integrated DX9 DeltaChrome graphics. Thus, while the demand for PCI Express is incredibly low right now, the entire computer industry is moving from AGP8X to PCI Express x16 video cards in 2005; which should boost up demand by leveling the playing fields across Intel and AMD based systems.

Intel and moves to socket 775 / 1066MHz FSB

Speaking of which, Intel users are in store for a lot of change as the CPU giant increases FSB speeds from 533MHz/800MHz to 1066MHz across the board by Q3 2005. With respect to its Pentium 4 and Pentium 4 Extreme Edition CPUs, not a lot is changing other than the addition of 2MB extra cache in early 2005. The Prescott-based FSB 1066MHz P4 EE and FSB 800MHz P4 6xx series will each get the 2MB cache treatment, starting in Q2'05. After that, the high end 'Smithfield' and 65nm 'CedreMill' cores will be introduced to the socket 775 platform sometime in Q3'2005. For value conscious consumers, Intel will continue to produce the sluggish Celeron D 3xx series on the 533MHz/800MHz FSB well into 2005 for both socket 478 and socket 775 platforms. As the lifespan of the socket 478 Pentium 4 draws to a close with the end of 2004, so to does the upgrade options for current Intel systems.

Chipset-wise the field is pretty cluttered in 2005 with releases from Intel, SIS, VIA, and ATI... athough no indications are yet available for the anticipated release of nVidia chipsets for the Pentium 4. Intel has of course introduced its 925X, 915P, 915G, and 925XE chipsets to very disappointing demand, largely due to the costs of all new processor, motherboard, memory, and videocard. Still, the variants on the 915 core logic are proving most popular, and Intel 915GV and 910GL-base solutions have been popping up here and there. Looking forward through 2005, about the only major additions to upcoming Intel chipsets 'Glenwood' and 'Lakeport' are the 1066MHz Front Side Bus (FSB), DDR-2 667 memory, and Serial ATA2 (sATA-2) care of the Intel ICH7 Southbridge. Not the most compelling feature set from the outset, but SATA-2 does support data transfer rates up to 300MB/sec - twice the speed of SATA.

The SIS 655TX was a good chipset which found success on a small scale, and as 2005 unfolds the company plans to introduce the SIS656 (DDR2-667, PCI Express) and SIS656FX in Q2'05 which will support DDR-2 800 memory. On the mainstream front SIS' offerings are limited to the SIS649, SIS662, and SIS670. The latter two of which feature DDR-2 667 memory support, integrated DX7 Mirage1 and DX9 Mirage3 graphics. ATI produces a powerful videocard GPU, but its motherboard chipsets have quickly fallen into the whirlpool of System Integrator (SI) class solutions on the market. Core logic releases from this company are not projected past the RS400, which is a DDR-2 / PCI Express solution with integrated Radeon 9600 DX89 graphics. VIA on the other hand have even fewer Intel chipsets slated for release in 2005, though its 'PT' series are of note as being one of the few SLI compatible chipsets for the Intel platform.

In Q1'2005, the VIA PT894 and PT894 Pro will bring with them support for DDR2-667 and PCI Express. The VIA PT894 with a single PCI Express x1 slot, and the VIA PT894 Pro with two PCI Express x16 slots. The only other chipset currently road-mapped to support a dual PCI Express x16 configuration is the ULI M1685 chipset, which is unlikely to see much mainstream adoption. By the second half of 2005, VIA will have its PM890 available which may be SLI compatible... we're not entirely sure. The PM890 looks to be one of the few AGP8X / PCI Express solutions, with integrated UniChrome3 DX9 graphics.

Q3'04 - Q3 2005Intel Roadmap Q3'04 - Q3 2005Videocard Roadmap Q3'04 - Q3 2005AMD Roadmap

Videocard Highlights for 2005

The videocard situation never rests, and 2004 has been inundated with far too many product releases to match actual video game needs. Doom 3 may have been a driving force, but the widely popular Half Life 2 game is far easier on consumers with +1 or +2 year old video cards. Still, companies like ATI and nVidia need to release new products if they are to continue to support their massive investments in R&D, and so there are plenty of GPUs road-mapped for release on both sides of the red and green fence in 2005. Starting with ATI, Q4'04 has seen the introduction of the Radeon X850, X800, and X700 videocards; all of which are PCI Express x16 solutions based on 110nm or 130nm Low-K manufacturing process. By mid-2005 the Radeon R5xx series will emerge with a set of shinny new 90nm GPUs.

nVidia on the other hand have been through the whole HSI bridge diversion, and are now clearly setting their sites on native PCI Express GPUs. The 110nm (TSMC Fab'd) NV47 is anticipated in Q1-Q2 2005, with the 90nm (IBM Fab'd) NV50 following late Q3'05. For those consumers holding on to their AGP8X motherboards, its seems the GeForce 6800 and 6600 are the only, and possibly last, solutions forecast on that front. The just released Geforce 6200 Shader 3.0 / PCI Express card picks up the lower end markets.

The wildly unsuccessful XGI Volari continues to kick the dirt, and aims for better prosperity with its XG48 and XG5x PCI Express Shader 3.0 solutions. XGI was quickly relegated to the 'value markets,' and may continue to service this segment with the Volari V3XT all year long. VIA have a few videocard solutions of their own, including the GammaChromeF11 and GammaChrome S14.

Those are the highlights, take a moment to browse though each of the roadmaps yourself!

Original URL, circa 2004:

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